2014年9月30日星期二

09/30/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
For big picture, market rally for a long time and get extreme bullish ( most recent long term sell signal) on early March this year. Since then there is correction on RUT and NASDAQ while SPY/DJ maintain well. Overall market is stuck in the range for 6 months with no serious correction or able to move higher.
    Another selling today. T2108 is in bounce zone while all breath indicator in bearish mode and have room to further down. Market can not always in this range, break down has more possibility as QE3 end October, but need to follow the tape.  We will see.

[Anticipation List]
Float from low to high, remove buyout rumor
GLMD STRA MED CHUY VEEV MFRM CLUB LEAF LTM ANN SCLN ALNY LPSN MANH SPLK
b/d from yesterday Anticipation List
RGS TREX TSRA

[Good Swing setups in last 5 days]
Go though the list in TC2000: c/c4>1.08 and v>100000
Or go through the list in finviz: Weekly 10%+ move with voloume>100K
(1) FNHC
(2) MOBL
(3) OVAS
(4) TREE

2014年9月29日星期一

09/29/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
For big picture, market rally for a long time and get extreme bullish ( most recent long term sell signal) on early March this year. Since then there is correction on RUT and NASDAQ while SPY/DJ maintain well. Overall market is stuck in the range for 6 months with no serious correction or able to move higher.
    After several days selling, we have 2 positive days. T2108 is in bounce zone while all breath indicator in bearish mode and have room to further down. Market can not always in this range, break down has more possibility as QE3 end next month, but need to follow the tape.  We will see.

[Anticipation List]
GLMD STRA MED CHUY VEEV MFRM CLUB LEAF RGS TREX INFI ANN SCLN ALNY TSRA LPSN MANH
B/o from yesterday Anticipation List
ANAC

[Good Swing setups in last 5 days]
(1) DOM
(2) FNHC
(3)GTIM
(4) INSY
(5) OVAS
(6) TREE


2014年9月28日星期日

09/28/2014 Weekend Routine - EP

[Notable Earning or Good EP in past week from EP scan]

As earning season past, not so many EP of growth stocks can be found.
N/A for this week.


2014年9月27日星期六

09/27/2014 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
For long term market timing, we are likely in a complex market top. Now we are seeing clear divergence on index and breath. So 100% cash in current allocation (actually move 100% into monetary mutual fund). And wait for next buying signal

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
09/17/2014 - 09/23/2014, a lot of b/o fade and b/d. Market condition is not good at all, even full anticipation will get hurt a lot. See details below:

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
 --- N/A ----

Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
--- N/A ----

Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) LYB
(2) VRNT


Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation
(1) ABM
(2) BG
(3) PVH
(4) TREX
(5) TSRA
(6) CRI
(7) JMBA
(8) MHGC
(9) RGS
(10) SIG
(11) SPR

2014年9月26日星期五

09/26/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
For big picture, market rally for a long time and get extreme bullish ( most recent long term sell signal) on early March this year. Since then there is correction on RUT and NASDAQ while SPY/DJ maintain well. Recently we have another V shape recovery. After side-way move for a while, another selling start.
    Today another bounce but weak than previous day selling. Still almost everything is in bearish mode, is fast selling about to start? Or we back in range?

[Anticipation List]
Today, I changed the liquidation filter from 100K to 30K, float from low to high
STRA VEEV MFRM CLUB PTRY MELI RGS ANAC MCRL ANN SCLN TSRA LPSN
B/o from yesterday Anticipation List
PNK

[Good Swing Setups in last 5 days]
(1) DOM
(2) FARM, violet before b/o
(3) GPRO
(4) RDUS

2014年9月25日星期四

09/25/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
For big picture, market rally for a long time and get extreme bullish ( most recent long term sell signal) on early March this year. Since then there is correction on RUT and NASDAQ while SPY/DJ maintain well. Recently we have another V shape recovery. After side-way move for a while, another selling start.
    Today more selling on index, volume not that high so breath is not so bad. Now almost everything is in bearish mode, is fast selling about to start?

[Anticipation List]
STRA CNCE VEEV CLUB ANAC SCLN TSRA LPSN PNK
B/d from yesterday Anticipation List
FLWS NEO

[Good Swing setups in last 5 days]
Go though the list in TC2000: c/c4>1.08 and v>100000
Or go through the list in finviz: Weekly 10%+ move with voloume>100K
(1) DOM, very good setup, grade A
(2) JRJC
(3) GPRO



2014年9月24日星期三

09/24/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
For big picture, market rally for a long time and get extreme bullish ( most recent long term sell signal) on early March this year. Since then there is correction on RUT and NASDAQ while SPY/DJ maintain well. Recently we have another V shape recovery. After side-way move for a while, another selling start.
    Today there is a bounce after 4 days selling, that is not surprise. This bounce is weak, all breath indicator still in bearish.

[Anticipation List]
DGLY STRA CNCE CLUB FLWS RGS ANAC NEO SCLN TSRA LPSN PNK
B/o from yesterday Anticipation List
AMED MELI VRSN

[good swing setups in last 5 days]
(1) GPRO
(2) JRJC

2014年9月23日星期二

09/23/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
For big picture, market rally for a long time and get extreme bullish ( most recent long term sell signal) on early March this year. Since then there is correction on RUT and NASDAQ while SPY/DJ maintain well. Recently we have another V shape recovery. After side-way move for a while, another selling start.
    Today another low breath selling day, all breath in bearish mode while index especially on large cap is not so bad. Not in fast selling yet. There may be another bounce but all support/resistance is for break through, otherwise there is no bear/bull market. Let us if this time a real correction (need to see fast selling) or just another "wolf coming".

[Anticipation List]
DGLY STRA AMED FLWS MELI ANAC NEO SCLN LPSN PNK VRSN

[Good Setups in last 5 days]
Not so many good setups as 4 days selling in a row
(1) LDRH

2014年9月22日星期一

09/22/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
For big picture, market rally for a long time and get extreme bullish ( most recent long term sell signal) on early March this year. Since then there is correction on RUT and NASDAQ while SPY/DJ maintain well. Recently we have another minor pull back and then V shape recovery. Now big cap side-way move and make marginal new high while RUT struggling.
    Today get another low breath sell after clear divergence on breath/T2108 vs index (big cap). All breath indicators turn red. But do not want to be too bearish as not see fast selling and market tend to V shape recover.

[Anticipation List]
AMED ANAC LPNT PNK VRSN TJX
Lots of b/d from yesterday Anticipation List
CRI JMBA MHGC SIG SPR RGS

[Good Swing setups in last 5 days]
(1) CZR
(2) EEP
(3) GNI, very good continuous setup
(4) WTW, orderly pull back then b/o, may have catalyst



2014年9月20日星期六

09/20/2014 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
For long term market timing, we are likely in a complex market top. Now we are seeing clear divergence on index and breath. So 100% cash in current allocation (actually move 100% into monetary mutual fund).

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
09/10/2014 - 09/16/2014, a lot of b/o fade and b/d. Market condition is not good at all, even full anticipation will get hurt a lot. See details below:

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
(1) LOW


Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1) VPRT
(2) NEO
(3) LGF
(4) INTC


Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) CSTE
(2) JMBA
(3) TA
(4) FL
(5) WPX


Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation
(1) CMG
(2) COO
(3) CXW
(4) FBHS
(5) LYB
(6) MHK
(7) MWE
(8) PTRY
(9)WY
(10) DTSI
(11) TSLA
(12) WX