2014年11月30日星期日

11/30/2014 Weekend Routine - EP

Notable Earning in past week.

(1)VEEV
This is 2nd stage EP, and I have mentioned it one quarter before here. Float 52M, Both Rev and EPS are all time high, increase full-year guidance. From TA side, 1st EP does not go anywhere and create shake out, volume dry up and price concentrate before 2nd EP which is good.

    Total revenues for the third quarter were $83.8 million, up from $55.0 million one year ago, an increase of 52% year-over-year. 
    Third quarter operating income was $19.9 million, compared to $10.0 million one year ago, an increase of 100% year-over-year. Non-GAAP operating income for the third quarter was $24.1 million, compared to $11.9 million one year ago, an increase of 103% year-over-year.
    Third quarter net income was $10.3 million, compared to $6.5 million one year ago, an increase of 57% year-over-year. Non-GAAP net income for the third quarter was $13.7 million, compared to $7.7 million one year ago, an increase of 77% year-over-year.


2014年11月29日星期六

11/29/2014 Weekend routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
Another big V shape recovery, which start from lower breath and accelerate. After side-way move when make a marginal new high. A 300+ day on down side happens on Black Friday. Stay 100% cash for now. I have total 14 stock fund to invest, current top 3 sort by TI42 (avgc4/avgc42) are:
    1. LMOIX  (1.05 - last week rank2)
    2. FOCKX (1.05 - last week rank3)
    3. JVMRX (1.05 - last week rank1)


[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
11/19/2014 - 11/25/2014, Some setups works, lots of b/d on 11/29/14 but most of them bounce back. See details below.


Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
(1) MDP
(2)SAVE


Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1) STMP



Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
--- NA ---


Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation
(1) CMCO
(2) CRAY
(3) INAP
(4) KFRC
(5) KWR
(6) MANH
(7) N
(8) PSA
(9) SYF



2014年11月28日星期五

11/28/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V and then side-way move. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    In the range market, as market get marginal new high, it tend to pull-back. Today, we saw 300+ day on down side even it is half day. Which may lead to end of the V rally and side-way move.

[Anticipation List]
USNA STRA LABL RRGB SCSC FUR BSFT PPO DST FICO TYL PLT TREX EDE LOPE SXT ATR SANM OREX INFN AMTD PAYX ODP FLEX BMY TEVA
B/o from yesterday:
ALGT EIX WFM WU
B/d from yesterday:
ENV GCAP

[Good Swing setups in past 5 days]
BEAT VDSI HA BERY

2014年11月27日星期四

11/26/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V and then side-way move. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    In the range market, as market get marginal new high, it tend to pull-back, let us see if this time it is the same. Or primary get expansion to new bull market. Today close to holiday.

[Anticipation List]
USNA STRA LABL ALGT RRGB SCSC FUR ENV BSFT PPO DST FICO MTX PLT TREX GCAP EDE IDA LOPE ATR SANM WRI WOOF INFN SCG AMTD PAYX EIX WFM WU ODP ADP BMY TEVA

[Good Swing Setup in past 5 days]
OCRX BEAT BERY NOAH

2014年11月25日星期二

11/25/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V and then side-way move. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    In the range market, as market get marginal new high, it tend to pull-back, let us see if this time it is the same. Or primary get expansion to new bull market. 

[Anticipation List]
USNA NHI FUR BSFT PPO DST FICO MTX AKR SLAB GCAP FCN EDE IDA LOPE PEB ATE PNM LHO WRI WOOF INFN MKC SCG AMTD MAR PAYX WFM KMB WU ADP BMY
B/o from yesterday list:
STMP
B/d from yesterday list:
SYF

[Good Swing setups in past 5 days]
HGG BRC MHK DENN BERY EXAS UTIW RLGY NOAH

2014年11月24日星期一

11/24/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    After bounce, market goes to side-way move for 2 weeks. Now seems it is moving to up side into the holiday season. 

[Anticipation List]
USNA STMP AHP NHI FUR DST TRNX FICO MTX AKR SLAB EDE LOPE PEB ATR PNM LHO WRI WOOF PKG MKC RKT SYF SCG AMTD FISV TE MAR PAYX WFM KMB WU FLEX BMY TEVA
B/o from yesterday List
MDP SAVE

[Good Swing Setup in past 5 days]
BLDR IPXL MHK DENN WWW RLGY FBHS RFMD NOAH

2014年11月23日星期日

11/23/2014 Weekend Routine - EP

Notable Earning in past week.

(1)RESN
Recent IPO. New Product, New Asian market, but no rev/earning yet. Everything is still in concept phase. Chart tells it is good and its success can be anticipate.

    Partnership with Robinson Institute expands customer reach to Asian markets
    RCE-1000 completely assembled, operational and preparing to ramp production

(2) NVEE
This is the one I like. Growth story with only 3M float. Backlog increase and full 2014 year guidance increase tells there is more possibility to be a real EP. Target to $18 (100% potential).

  • Gross revenues for the quarter increased 69% to $31.4 million
  • Net income for the quarter increased 85% to $1.7 million
  • Diluted EPS for the quarter increased 35% to $0.31
  • Backlog of $80.7 million as of September 30, 2014 increased 34% from $60.2 million as of December 31, 2013


2014年11月22日星期六

11/22/2014 Weekend Routine - Swing & 401K

[401K]
Another big V shape recovery, which start from lower breath and accelerate. It did not give me a low risk buy signal. Stay 100% cash for now. I have total 14 stock fund to invest, current top 3 sort by TI42 (avgc4/avgc42) are:
    1. JVMRX (1.05 - last week rank3)
    2. LMOIX  (1.04 - last week rank1)
    3. FOCKX (1.04 - last week rank2)


[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
11/12/2014 - 11/18/2014, the setups does not work good, most b/o fade or side-way move. Lots of b/d, but short hardly working also, as no panic selling. Looks we are in a top formation from individual setups behavior.


Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
(1) AVNR, if sold on 3rd day morning, this one may work


Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1) SIX
(2) SWI
(3) RDWR
(4) MD


Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) ELY
(2) HNI
(3) BEAT
(4) BSX



Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation
(1) CELG
(2) ESE
(3) ADS
(4) LOPE
(5) PSTB
(6) UFPI


2014年11月21日星期五

11/21/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    After bounce, market goes to side-way move for 2 weeks. It can break to either direction. Today, market gap up then fade, but still close green, mean no panic selling.

[Anticipation List]
USNA AHP SCSC NHI FUR DST FICO MTX MDP AKR CEB SLAB SAVE ATR LHO SANM WRI WOOF JKHY PKG ALSN MWV RKT SCG MAR ABC PAYX WFM KMB FLEX BMY

[Good Setups in past 5 days]
WWW

2014年11月20日星期四

11/20/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    After bounce, market goes to side-way move for 2 weeks. It can break to either direction. Today, market bounce back after 1 day primary touch red. We may rally into holiday. Setup lack of follow through is the big issue now.

[Anticipation List]
CTRL AHP SCSC MELI DST FICO MTX MDP PLT LHO AN SANM JKHY AER ROP PKG PAY COL MWV RKT AMP KMX FISV SEE SON PAYX PCAR WFM ADP V FLEX MMC BMY

[Good Setups in past 5 days]
PSEM IPXL
PSEM is very good setup, A grade

2014年11月19日星期三

11/19/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    After bounce, market goes to side-way move for 2 weeks. It can break to either direction. Today, index close lower, long anticipation list get short as lots of setups broken though not reach 4% down. Primary indicator turn red. Time to be cautious. 

[Anticipation List]
TRK AHP SCSC MELI DST FICO MTX MDP PLT HNI RLI EDE ADS SANM JKHY AER SRCL COL LYV FISV LNC PAYX PCAR ODP V FLEX CTSH MA
B/d from yesterday ANTI:
CMCO CRAY INAP KFRC KWR MANH N PSA

[Good Setups in past 5 days]
AGIO AEC

2014年11月18日星期二

11/18/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V. Keep in mind, QE has ended and this rally has been over-extended.
    After bounce, market goes to side-way move for 2 weeks. It can break to either direction. For short term, party is not likely to be over yet.

[Anticipation List]
KWR OSTK IOSP CMCO OSIS AHP LFUS KFRC SCSC ANGO MELI DST FICO MTX MDP N INAP HNI CRAY UCFC RTIX MANH SANM JKHY QLGC PSA TSCO LYV ADSK LNC PCAR V CTSH MA
B/o from yesterday List
AVNR BEAT BSX

[Good Setups in past 5 days]
NTES AEC BITA

2014年11月17日星期一

11/17/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V.
    After bounce, market goes to side-way move for 2 weeks. It can break to either direction. 

[Anticipation List]
Remove long term extended stocks to reduce list:
CTRL AHP CCMP LFUS SCSC ANGO BEAT MELI CSGP DST MTX GCAP N CRAY HA THG UCFC RT RTIX QLGC PAY AVNR PH ENTG TSCO TXT PCAR V CTSH BSX
B/o from yesterday List
MD
B/d from yesterday List
ADS KMX LOPE PSTB UFPI

[Good Swing Setup in past 5 days]
AEC

2014年11月16日星期日

2014年11月15日星期六

11/15/2014 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
Another big V shape recovery, which start from lower breath and accelerate. It did not give me a low risk buy signal. Stay 100% cash for now. I have total 14 stock fund to invest, current top 3 sort by TI42 (avgc4/avgc42) are:
    1. LMOIX  (1.05 - last week rank2)
    2. FOCKX (1.05 - last week rank3)
    3. JVMRX (1.05 - last week rank1)

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
11/05/2014 - 11/1/2014, b/o success rate is like normal market, but move is smaller for continuous setup. Details as below

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
(1) BJRI
(2) OZRK, small move
(3) MFRM, will be shake out on 3rd day if move stop to previous day low


Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1) OCR
(2) XRAY
(3) RT, side-way move 2 days then fade
(4) TSCO
(5) JAH
(6) MTX
(7) STC
(8) OMER


Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) FIZZ, 1st b/o fade, but another one 2 days later with follow through
(2) OMCL



Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation
- N/A -

2014年11月14日星期五

11/14/2014 Daily Market Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V.
    For short term, we have a strong bounce and all index makes new high while secondary indicator in over-bought status. But more and more setups show up and Anticipation List get very long, let's which direction they will move.

[Anticipation List]
USNA CTRL CMCO UFPI AHP CCMP LFUS SCSC ANGO CSGP DST MMSI MTX TYL MRCY PLT CEB SEIS FCN KNL CRAY RLI HA PSTB THG LOPE RT ADS MANH WOOF QLGC PAY ALLE MD AVNR ENTG LYV KMX CTRX FISV TXT EA MHFI V MA BSX VIMC BFR
B/o from yesterday List
CLGX
B/d from yesterday List
CELG ESE ILMN

[Good Setups in last 5 days]
EROS RDWR CMGE BITA SZMK FCAU

2014年11月13日星期四

11/13/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V.
    For short term, we have a strong bounce and all index makes new high while secondary indicator in over-bought status. Not surprise to see most b/o of yesterday fade as we are in short-term overbought.

[Anticipation List]
CTRL OSIS AHP ESE CCMP LFUS SCSC ANGO MTX FCN KNL ACHC CRAY RLI LOPE RT ADS MANH CLGX QLGC ILMN PAY ALLE MD AVNR ENTG TSCO KMX CTRX EA CELG BSX BFR
B/o from yesterday ANTI
RDWR

[Good Setups in past 5 days]
TGTX FLWS PENN HF AVD CZR

2014年11月12日星期三

11/12/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V.
    For short term, we have a strong bounce and all index makes new high while secondary indicator in over-bought status. Today, a lot of quality b/o from anticipation list but need to control risk ask 2nd indicator give us red light.

[Anticipation List]
As list get very long, cut it by removing long time extended setup
LNN CTRL OPLK OSIS UFPI AHP ESE LFUS SCSC ANGO MELI NX MTN PLT RDWR FCN KNL CRAY RLI LOPE ADS MANH TTWO CLGX MDXG ILMN PAY ALLE MD ENTG TSS KMX CTRX BFR
Lots of b/o from yesterday Anticipation List:
B DLX ELY FAF HNI SIX SWI

[Good Setups in past 10 days]
TUBE FLWS TGTX ATRC HF ANAC RATE

2014年11月11日星期二

11/11/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V.
    For short term, we have a strong bounce and all index makes new high while secondary indicator in over-bought status. Index hardly move any further. Be careful expecting a pull back.

[Anticipation List]
STRT OPLK UFPI AHP ESE CCMP LFUS SCSC MTN PLT RDWR IPGP PLXS FCN HNI CRAY B DLX LOPE UCFC SWI MANH TTWO SIX ELY CLGX MDXG PAY ALLE MD FAF ENTG TSS KMX CTRX FISV EA MHFI
B/o from yesterday Anticipation List
OMER

[Good Swing setups in past 5 days]
See more continuous setups working
CUDA TREE TUBE FLWS HF ANAC EBIX RATE ISIS LEN PHM

2014年11月10日星期一

11/10/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We have been in the range market since early this year. Each time it has a correction, it is V shape bounce back and make marginal new high. We have just another V.
    For short term, we have a strong bounce and all index makes new high while secondary indicator in over-bought status. Be careful expecting a pull back.

[Anticipation List]
STRT KWR UFPI EGL AHP LFUS OMER OMCL MRCY PLT RDWR PLXS HNI CRAY B LOPE UCFC MANH SIX ELY ALLE MD ENTG TSS CTRX EA MHFI
B/o from yesterday Anticipation List
MTX OMCL STC

[Good Swing setups in past 5 days]
TUBE BJRI TREE AEL CDK

2014年11月9日星期日

11/09/2014 weekend routine - EP

Notable Earning in past week.

(1) PLNR
2nd Stage EP, earning accelerate. Rev and EPS get to multi-year high. Float 19.6M. Volume is huge on 2nd EP, almost same as entire float.

    Total revenue increased 17% year on year to $53.6 million compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013. Revenue was driven by a 42% increase in sales of DS products, which totaled $25.2 million in the fourth fiscal quarter of 2014, compared to $17.7 million in the same period a year ago.
    GAAP net income totaled $2.2 million or $0.10 per diluted share, an improvement from a GAAP net loss of $207,000 or $(0.01) in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013.
    Non-GAAP net income totaled $3.1 million or $0.14 per diluted share, an improvement from non-GAAP net income of $1.0 million or $0.05 per diluted share in the same year-ago quarter.


2014年11月8日星期六

11/08/2014 Weekend Routine - Swing and 401K

[401K]
Another big V shape recovery, which start from lower breath and accelerate. It did not give me a low risk buy signal. Stay 100% cash for now. I have total 14 stock fund to invest, current top 3 sort by TI42 (avgc4/avgc42) are:
    1. JVMRX (1.04)
    2. LMOIX  (1.04)
    3. FOCKX (1.04)

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
10/29/2014 - 11/04/2014, swing kind of trading may still work, but best to close on 2nd day. Best time of bounce is gone, and mostly V kind of setup works best. Detail as below, continues setup works best at confirmed bull market.

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
(1) IBKR


Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1)CNCE
(2) HSTM, the one actually in, wash trading
(3) VDFC



Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) ANAC, fade on 3rd day, not bad, may still have small profit
(2) INSY, also fade on 3rd
(3) VSI
(4) ALDR, fade on 3rd day with earning beat. I have good profit as close on 3rd day open.
(5) OESX, oh-shit moment if get in on b/o day


Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation
(1) SBH, b/d then bounce back which mean short is hardly work in this market as well