2015年1月7日星期三

01/07/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014 (RUT +50%). It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market (10%), especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much (no primary extreme on bullish/bearish), 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    After rally 3 days with catalyst of Fed minutes to keep low rate verbally, then slow move in holiday season. Market showing some weakness, and start selling, no panic yet. Market bounce today, not so convincing though.

[Anticipation List]
List below is from float low to high, link of Finviz is sort by relative volume
Best: COLM IDXX BIN KAR ONNN YHOO CDK
Rest: DGLY USNA HCKT CYNO ANGO BSFT FRAN TREX LII CALD CRUS RTIX GPT MD FSL AGN
B/o from yesterday:
BDX ABC HSIC ICUI

[Good Setups in past 5 days]
VIPS DKS

2015年1月6日星期二

01/06/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014 (RUT +50%). It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market (10%), especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much (no primary extreme on bullish/bearish), 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    After rally 3 days with catalyst of Fed minutes to keep low rate verbally, then slow move in holiday season. Market showing some weakness, and start selling, no panic yet. Dip buyer may step in. 

[Anticipation List]
List below is from float low to high, link of Finviz is sort by relative volume
Best: COLM IDXX BIN AGN YHOO CDK
Rest: DGLY USNA ICUI ANGO TREX LII DFT HSIC MD KAR BDX ABC ONNN
B/d from yesterday
CST ISSI BEAT NXPI SWFT MRTN DHX TPUB

[Good Swing Setups from past 5 days]
VIPS

2015年1月5日星期一

01/05/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014. It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market, especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much, 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    Market rally 3 days catalyst of Fed minutes to keep low rate verbally, then slow move in holiday season. After showing some weakness, today selling comes in. 

[Anticipation List]
Best: DGLY USNA BLUE ISSI IDXX CST AGN YHOO CDK
Rest: STRP ICUI CSTE STC MRTN BEAT COLM BSFT DHX DFT SWFT MD BIN KAR BDX NXPI ABC TPUB
B/d from Friday (good short setup?):
LABL DTSI RHI DISH WERN MAR ALSN ONNN GLBK

[Good Swing Setups in past 5 days]
VIPS

2015年1月4日星期日

01/04/2015 Weekend Routine - EP

(1) NRX
It is bio-tech play. Catalyst is beyond my understanding, market chart looks good and EP day volume is almost 3x of its float (8.3M). the company announced it found its lead drug to be safe in a cardiac safety study.
The company is evaluating the drug pyridorin in a late-stage trial in patients with diabetic nephropathy, a chronic and degenerative kidney disease caused by diabetes and often tied to heart disease.
NephroGenex said it has noted cardiac safety concerns with other therapies currently in development.

Relationship with Market

Re-reading the Mark Douglas "Trading in the Zone" during the holiday season. I believe keep reminding myself with correct altitude and perspective will shorten the leaning curve in trading practice.

    When market demonstrates probability on one side is higher than the other, means there is an edge. I must make myself available (means with cost as doing business) to take the advantage.
    But since it is a probability game. I fully understand it may or may not work, it may rewards more or less at this particular time.
    Market act at its own will and doing whatever it want to do, regardless who am I. But at same time market tells me neutral information which can be identify as higher probability over other. When edge shows up, I spend some money to see what will happen next. That is it.

2015年1月3日星期六

01/03/2015 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
Market bounce back in middle December with holiday rally. This rally now start showing weakness. Stay in 100% cash as of now. Recent stock fund TI42 rank as below:

rank1 rank2 rank3
1/3/2015 FSEVX 102.27 FXSIX 101.48 DFFVX 101.46
12/20/2014 FXSIX 99.96 PWCIX 99.9 FCNKX 99.79
12/13/2014 JVMRX 101.7 PWCIX 101.4 FISIX 101
    

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
12/17/2014 - 12/30/2014, it is 2 weeks review as in holiday season, not so many setups. Details as below.


Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)

(1) BWLD
(2) ITG
(3) WFM



Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1) ICUI



Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) IQNT
(2) KAR
(3) LEG


Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation (most b/d recovered due to the strong bounce)
(1) CBM
(2) MZOR


2015年1月2日星期五

01/02/2015 Daily Trading Routine

Happy New Year, 2015

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014. It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market, especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much, 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    After six 300+ down days, market rally strong with follow through with catalyst of Fed minutes to keep low rate verbally. Three 300+ buying in a row, then slow move in holiday season. Another weakness day as of today, fast selling not start yet.

[Anticipation List]
Best: DGLY USNA LABL BLUE COLM IDXX CST AGN YHOO CDK
Rest: GRBK DTSI CSTE BEAT ISSI DHX TREX MATX WERN SWFT ALSN BIN KAR RHI BDX NXPI DISH MAR ABC CI ONNN ZTS

[Good Swing Setups in past 5 days]
NLNK PLNR