01/31/2015 Weekend Routine - Swing & 401K

[401K]
Market is very choppy in past one month, which looks to be complex top. Friday close is not good, bounce is too weak to be more than one day, all market monitor signal turn bearish. Stay in 100% cash. Recent stock fund TI42 rank as below (FIDKX & DFEVX is international market):

rank1 TI42 rank2 TI42 rank3 TI42 1/31/2015 FIDKX(I) 101.2 TRBCX 100.51 FSEVX 100.51 1/24/2015 DFEVX(I) 100.58 TRBCX 100.51 FSEVX 100.25 1/17/2015 FSEVX 99.26 MPEGX 98.86 DFEVX(I) 98.83 1/10/2015 FSEVX 99.86 PWCIX 99.35 FXSIX 99.18 1/3/2015 FSEVX 102.27 FXSIX 101.48 DFFVX 101.46

    

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]

01/22/2015 - 01/28/2015, very frustrating period, setups either b/o without follow through or just fade. See details below:

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)

--NA--

Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)

(1) BSX

(2) MATX

(3) SIRO

(4) RAX

(5) IPXL

(6) LJPC

Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) SEE

(2) HOFT, this one should be sell on b/o day as made 10%+ move

Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation (most b/d recovered due to the strong bounce)
(1) OMER

(2) CDW

(3) WBA

(4) AEE

01/30/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. 
    Last V shap bounce is from Oct 2014, as from Dec 2014 even short term very choppy. As market can not bounce here means buying is weak. Possibility of panic selling increase in next week.

[Anticipation List]
Best: TLYS EBIX
Rest: GRBK CALA ADMS SCVL RM PBPB ANW SWHC BMS STZ ONNN SPLS

B/d from yesterday: BCOV SIGM INGN PERY PETS SONC VVI
Good setups in past 5 days: CEMP PSEM MX WLDN EPE

[EP Analysis]
Watch List: INFN ABMD HZO SYNA AMZN

Big Move Today:
 - AMZN, largest volume in 2 years, catalyst as yesterday after hour
 - SYNA, volume not so high, 2Q neglect. 74/125 earning

After Hour Move: Nothing

01/29/2014 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. After 300+ selling yesterday, market try to bounce back today, we are still in whipsaw territory.

[Anticipation List]
Best: TLYS BCOV EBIX SIGM
Rest: GRBK ADMS SCVL RM PERY PETS PBPB VVI PETX ANW SONC ELGX BMS STZ FNF ONNN MRVL ODP SPLS INGN

B/o from yesterday: LHCG SLXP HE
B/d from yesterday: XNCR
Good Setups in past 5 days: RALY PSEM(best) CMPR DL WLDN

[EP Analysis]
Watch List (old-new): INFN ABMD

Big Move today: 
  - GENE (offer product in breast centers, expect sales acceleration)
  - HZO (same store sales growth, rev +44%, eps 0.01 vs -0.14, 25M no neglect)
  - HAR (64/19, earning b/o from 1 year range)

After Hour Move:
  - SYNA (Sales 464M +125%, EPS 1.46 +70%, 36M float, 2014.6 EP acquire other company, after that just pull back)

- AMZN (prime subscribers +50%, long time benefit, EPS 0.45)

01/28/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. Market see some weakness today, we will see if fast selling start of bounce back.

[Anticipation List]
Best: TLYS LHCG BCOV SIGM BMS
Rest: GRBK MCUR SCVL RM VVI XNCR EBIX SLXP SONC HE STZ ONNN ODP SPLS INGN

B/d from yesterday: WBA AEE
Good Setups in past 5 days: IPHI CY VHC DL WLDN CTRE TRCO NDRM

[EP Analysis]
Big move today:  
  - ABMD no neglect but decent earning, pull back swing play (mentioned last night)

After Hour Move:
  - MLNX rev/EPS goes high within 2 years (Rev +35%, EPS 0.59 vs 0.21), 30M float, beat earnings.

01/27/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. So far all indicator turn green and we have seen market rally with low breath. Today breath positive although index drop, short term look for upside but need to keep risk.

[Anticipation List]
Best: ANIP BCOV SIGM BMS WBA
Rest: TLS SCVL LHCG RM VVI EBIX DRII SLXP MD HE AEE ODP RAD INGN

B/d from yesterday: OMER CDW
Good Setups in past 5 days: IPHI CY TSEM RMD AAN SKYW PAYC VHC DL NDRM TRCO

[EP Analysis]
Big move today: Nothing

After hour move: 
- ABMD good catalyst (rev/EPS new high, beat, margin expending, product upgrade), but no neglect. 1st EP happen 1Q before.

01/26/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. So far all indicator turn green and we have seen market rally with low breath. One day one trade with well controlled risk should be keep in my mind.

[Anticipation List]
Best: TLYS BMS WBA
Rest: ANIP SCVL RM OMER EBIX SIGM CDW MD HE PMCS INGN

B/o from Friday: LJPC HALO
Good Setup in past 5 days: SRNE IPHI TASR HA CY MTSI TSEM RMD CDK AAN SKYW PAYX

[EP Analysis]
Big Move today: Nothing
After Hour move: Nothing

01/24/2015 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
Market is start with selling at the beginning of this year and now become very choppy, try to bounce but weak, looks to be lower high on index, breath is obvious divergent. Stay in 100% cash as of now. Recent stock fund TI42 rank as below (DFEVX is emerging market):

		rank1	TI42	rank2	TI42	rank3	TI42
	1/24/2015	DFEVX	100.58	TRBCX	100.51	FSEVX	100.25
	1/17/2015	FSEVX	99.26	MPEGX	98.86	DFEVX	98.83
	1/10/2015	FSEVX	99.86	PWCIX	99.35	FXSIX	99.18
	1/3/2015	FSEVX	102.27	FXSIX	101.48	DFFVX	101.46

    

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]

01/15/2015 - 01/21/2015, some setup works but move is actually very small, so need to set lower profit target. A lot of b/d, be cautious with tight stop-loss. See details below:

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)

(1) HSP

(2) TASR

(3) ATHN

(4) CDK

Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)

(1) TTWO

Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)

(1) ISSI

Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation (most b/d recovered due to the strong bounce)
(1) GCAP

(2) BJRI

(3) STMP (it bounce back)

(4) ALG

(5) XOXO

(6) BSFT

(7) OMER

(8) BCOV

(9) ADPT

(10) RDI (bounce back)

01/23/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. Another bounce so far no follow through.

[Anticipation List]
Best: ANIP LJPC TLYS SIGM (TLYS high tight)
Rest: LNBB RM BLUE OMER EBIX MD BMS HALO WBA INGN

B/o from yesterday: NGVC HOFT IPXL 
Good Setups in past 5 days: CCXI TASR CLDX TSEM MTSI SWKS UAL RMD RATE AAN FICO PAYC QRVO

[EP Analysis]
Big Move Today: INFN (explained last night, it is 100M + float, plus previous EP does not work good), better wait for later entry.

After hour move: Nothing

01/22/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. We finally get a stronger day. Let us how much follow through it get.

[Anticipation List]
Best: AAC ANIP LJPC AYI
Rest: LNBB NGVC HOFT RM CUTR OMER LZB IPXL LULU MD BMS HALO WBA INGN

B/o from yesterday: RAX SEE BSX MATX SIRO
Good setups in past 5 days: CCXI RAVE CLDX RATE HDB FICO PAYC

[EP analysis]
Big Move Today: Nothing

After hour move: 
(1) INFN --- 121M float, 2nd stage EP, both rev and EPS get to new high. Rev  +34%, EPS 0.06 vs (-0.08). Margin is expending. 

Revenue for the quarter was $186.3 million compared to $173.6 million in the third quarter of 2014 and $139.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2013.

GAAP gross margin for the quarter was 45.3% compared to 43.4% in the third quarter of 2014 and 40.2% in the fourth quarter of 2013. GAAP operating margin was 6.9% in the fourth quarter of 2014 compared to 4.3% in the third quarter of 2014 and an operating loss of 5.1% in the fourth quarter of 2013.

GAAP net income for the quarter was $8.4 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, compared to net income of $4.8 million, or $0.04 per diluted share, in the third quarter of 2014 and a net loss of $10.2 million, or $0.08 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2013.

01/21/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. Need to see a thrust to be confident. 

[Anticipation List]
Best: LHCG GPT LULU BMS
Rest: LNBB SCVL TRK ABMD MATX LZB SIRO SIX RAX NCLH MD SEE ODP BSX INGN

B/o from yesterday: NA
B/d from yesterday: RDI
Good setups in past 5 days: CLDX RATE TSRA FICO NNBR UAN

[EP Analysis]
Big Move Today: NSP (active investor, recent rally is not good for neglect, catalyst is not strong, weak EP)

After hour move: Nothing special

01/20/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
We are in a range market since March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE has ended which is negative factor, but discount rate still at low. Market overall is extended. So for long term, a serious correction is possible. But it can also stay in range market for how long we do not know. A rally can start from range market, but not common and powerful as from correction.
    Since beginning of this year, we see some trouble after holiday rally to long range high. Market tried to bounce but lost of gas very soon. No panic selling yet. Need to be very careful play short term swing with risk management.

[Anticipation List]
Best: LNBB LHCG RDUS RDI GPT NCLH
Rest: SCVL XOXO ABMD MATX LZB RAX MD BMS INGN

B/o from yesterday: TASR ATHN CDK (TASR best)
B/d from yesterday: ADPT
Good Swing in past 5 days: CCXI HZNP CLDX RDWR RATE TSRA SMCI NNBR

[EP Analysis]
Big Move Today: SWHC (rise guidance: play tricky here, low guidance in last earning report then beat)
After hour move: Nothing neglect with good catalyst

01/18/2015 Weekend Routine - EP

--- NA ----

01/17/2015 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
Market bounce back after selling starting this year, bounce is weak and market did not correct too much to extreme level or 8%+, which is the buy zone. Stay in 100% cash as of now. Recent stock fund TI42 rank as below:

		rank1	TI42	rank2	TI42	rank3	TI42
	1/17/2015	FSEVX	99.26	MPEGX	98.86	DFEVX	98.83
	1/10/2015	FSEVX	99.86	PWCIX	99.35	FXSIX	99.18
	1/3/2015	FSEVX	102.27	FXSIX	101.48	DFFVX	101.46

    

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]

01/07/2015 - 01/14/2015, for a long time b/d finally works. This time frame is good for short. As I am focus on long side, setups not work that well. Details as below:

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)

(1) BDX

(2) HSIC

(3) CYNO

Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)

(1) ABC

(2) ICUI

(3) ONNN

Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)

(1) TREX

(2) FSL

(3) BDC

(4) SRNE

Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation (most b/d recovered due to the strong bounce)

(1) COTY

(2) DDC

(3) LAYN

(4) PGNX

(5) BIN

(6) GMIO

(7) OREX

(8) JASN

01/16/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014 ( +50%). It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market (10%), especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much (no primary extreme on bullish/bearish), 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    After holiday rally, there is a selling start of this year. Today all index rise in last one hour, but breath is low. Need a follow through and breath thrust to be more convincing a trad-able bounce. Will see next week.  

[Anticipation List]
Best: LHCG TSEM TASR
Rest: LNBB SCVL RDUS RDI ATHN GPT MD ADPT INGN CDK

B/o from yesterday: TTWO ISSI HSP   (TTWO best)
B/d from yesterday: N/A
Good setups in past 5 days: GNCMA CLVS BBSI TSRA

[EP Analysis]
Big Move today: DEPO CRRC (No good catalyst)
After hour move: Nothing

01/15/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014 ( +50%). It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market (10%), especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much (no primary extreme on bullish/bearish), 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    In short term after a bounce, several selling days. From breath level, selling is not too much, but we actually saw a lot of b/d in anticipation list. A panic selling will lead market to big correction, otherwise still likely to be in a range.

[Anticipation List]
Best are good setup can do real anticipation, rest is my pool for b/o trading during working time.
Best: ANIP LHCG TSEM TASR GPT INGN
Rest: ISSI CNC LDOS TTWO MD HE KAR HSP ADPT CDK

b/d from yesterday: ALG BJRI STMP GCAP SWIR XOXO PMCS BCOV OMER BSFT FRAN
good setups in past 5 days: FCEA BBSI

[EP Analysis]
Big Move of today: Nothing
After hour move: Nothing exciting 

01/14/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014 (RUT +50%). It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market (10%), especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much (no primary extreme on bullish/bearish), 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    Now primary still in bull mode but market showing weakness. Today try to bounce but still close low. Second indicator show extreme bullish will is also an concern.

[Anticipation List]
Best: ANIP ALG LHCG STMP BJRI GPT MD HE KAR
Rest: RDI PLNR XOXO HWAY ANGO BSFT FRAN SWIR BCOV OMER GCAP TASR RAX PMCS ODP ADPT INGN CDK

B/o from yesterday: SRNE
B/d from yesterday: JASN
Good Setups of past 5 days: ZIOP SRNE LPCN BEAT CYNO ZBRA IGTE PMC

[EP Analysis]
EP today: Nothing special

After hour move: Nothing Special

01/13/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014 (RUT +50%). It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market (10%), especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much (no primary extreme on bullish/bearish), 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    Market showing some weakness and start selling at the beginning of new year. It bounce back and follow through, but run out of gas too soon. Today's action is very bearish. Ultimately less and less dip buyers step in will likely to start real selling. 

[Anticipation List]
Best: ANIP STMP RDI SRNE BJRI MD HE KAR V
Rest: INVE ALG LHCG PSEM JASN XOXO HCKT ANGO COLM BSFT BCOV OMER GCAP TASR TTWO PMCS SEE ODP YHOO ADPT

B/o from yesterday: BDC
B/d from yesterday: OREX GIMO
Good setups of 5 days: ZIOP BEAT PLCE WEN CYNO DKS IGTE NEBO ZBRA PMC

[EP Analysis]
Big Move Today: Nothing

After Hour (4% move with neglect): Nothing with good catalyst

01/12/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Last major bull move is from Nov 2012 to Mar 2014 (RUT +50%). It is a long rally and market stay in extreme bullish for extended time with shadow correction then recover. From Mar 2014, we are in a range market (10%), especially true for small cap but big cap still make marginal new high. Market never correct too much and can not rally too much (no primary extreme on bullish/bearish), 1 or 2 month move on either side. 
    Market showing some weakness and start selling at the beginning of new year. It bounce back and follow through, but run out of gas too soon. This bounce can not even get BPNYA move above 10MA yet. Another down day with breath negative, fast selling not start yet. 

[Anticipation List]
List below is from float low to high, link of Finviz is sort by relative volume
Best: JASN SRNE BJRI BSFT OREX MD HE ODP
Rest: GRBK ANIP ALG STMP RDI GIMO ANGO COLM BCOV BDC RAX QLGC KAR V YHOO CDK
b/d from yesterday:
BIN DDC PGNX LAYN

[Good Swing in past 5 days]
ZIOP BEAT MRVL CYNO WEN TNP ENDP MSCI TBPH PMC