2015年8月31日星期一

08/31/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
5 days breath ratio is above 3 (mini flip) as 8/24 selling removed from calculation while 10 day ratio is still at 0.5. Market went out of extreme zone and the bounce seems to lost energy, setting for next move.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: ITEK AVOL
Rest: AQXP ABMD YDLE NTP CCE

MA125: ANAC SKX TWOU HCKT

B/d from yesterday: CVT

Recent MA b/o: ANAC EFOI (minor b/o)

Good setups in past 5 days: EFOI EZCH TANH TTI

[My Trading]
(1) INGN closed @ 48.9 as tight stop hit.

2015年8月29日星期六

08/29/2015 Weekend Routine - Swing & 401

[401K]
There is huge selling on Monday, there is one time all the index fell 8% from open (15% from recent high), primary indicator goes to extreme bearish level. After that it bounce back strong and repair from extreme bearish level. By the end of week, we are out of extreme zone. Since we did not see breath flip, which means the buying is still weak than the selling. More chance of another leg down.
    As of funds, all stock funds goes to bearish level. The rank1 is only 95. Current position is 100% cash. We will see how the market develops in following weeks.


[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
08/19/2015 - 08/25/2015, most setup (momentum candidates) has been sell off. A few has been bounce back, but most has been damaged. That is probably another reason that bounce will fail.

Some stock b/o and continue move: 
N/A

Some stocks b/o then side way move:
N/A

Some stocks b/o then fade:
N/A

2015年8月28日星期五

08/28/2015 Daily Trading Routin

[General Market]
Quick bounce in past 2-3 days get the primary indicator move out of extreme bearish level. Volatility reduced. Setting up for next move. As the bounce is not strong enough to generate breath flip, plus primary trend is not broken to up. Possibility on down side is higher.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: ITEK ABMD
Rest: AQXP XXIA CENTA YDLE CVT NTP CCE

MA125: 

B/o from yesterday:

Recent MA b/o: ANAC EFOI

Good setups in past 5 days: EFOI TTI

[My Trading]
(1) INGN, enter@50.01 with small position

2015年8月27日星期四

08/27/2015 Daily Trading routine

[General Market]
A 500+ day, we have been see 2 days of strong bounce. The beaten down stock, especially the energy stock is moving. Primary indicator is moving out of extreme and still in deep bearish zone. The 10 day ratio was not flip yet, need more engage to reverse the trend.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: N/A
Rest: AQXP ITEK CENT NTP NXTM

MA125: 

B/o from yesterday:

Recent MA b/o: N/A

Good setups in past 5 days: N/A

[My Trading]
N/A

2015年8月26日星期三

08/26/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Index move 3-4% today as a bounce. Daily breath number is 347/100 (relative low to index, as bounce most is big caps), not significant as in bear market 300+ days is normal. Market is just moving out of extreme bearish level, short term bounce is possible. 10-day ration is still below 0.5 and primary does not improve too much, nothing to be excited.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: ITEK
Rest: GSOL NTP NXTM

MA125: ANAC

B/o from yesterday: ANAC EFOI (minor b/o)

Recent MA b/o: N/A

Good setups in past 5 days: N/A

[My Trading]
N/A

2015年8月25日星期二

08/25/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
There is a bounce and fade quick at end of day. Primary indicator still in extreme bearish level with 10 day ratio below 0.5. Not too much to do and almost no setup to trade, just watch side way unless big buying create breath flip.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: N/A
Rest: NXTM NTP FTK

MA125: ANAC

B/d from yesterday: N/A

Recent MA b/o: N/A

Good setups in past 5 days: N/A

[My Trading]
N/A

2015年8月24日星期一

08/24/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
What a day! Market open low at ~7-8% below last Friday close and bounce back half. At close, still see 1400 of 4% selling and we are at extreme bearish level (which means bullish). Almost everything has been sold in past 3 days in a row.
    This level is start to be bullish but need to wait for breath flip signal as it tend to very volatile in this phase. On the other side. Market does not tend to bottom immediately after the fast selling. Chances are level of this morning (-15% from high) will be re-tested or broken before real bottom.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: N/A
Rest: NXTM EFOI

MA125: ANAC

B/d from yesterday: POST FIX AVOL VG CCE TE METR RAI EGL

Recent MA b/o: BOFI EROS

Good setups in past 5 days: 

[My Trading]
N/A

2015年8月23日星期日

08/22/2015 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
We finally see fast selling as of 500+ and 400+ day on the down side. The primary indicator got to 248/1135 level. Now it is more likely to be a serious correction. The short term is over-sold and tend to bounce, but long term pic is broken and we are not at the extreme bearish level yet, more room of down side is high probability.
    As of funds, all stock funds go below Ti42=101 level and most of them go below the 99 level. This is good for 401K, next big opportunity is coming one market bottom (but not now). 


[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
08/12/2015 - 08/18/2015, not surprise only a few stock still work and need to take profit very quick. On Thursday and Friday, most stock was sold off.

Some stock b/o and continue move: 
BYD AHS (take small move, gain give up quick)


Some stocks b/o then side way move:

Some stocks b/o then fade:

Some stocks break down:
NEOG YRCW MDLZ FTK AMED GNC

2015年8月21日星期五

08/21/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Another 400+ day after yesterday. Technology companies are leading on the down side. The selling is accelerating. Although fast selling tend to be volatile and short term bounce.  High probability of a serious correction as of now, from the previous 2 months steady distribution/breath deterioration.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: POST
Rest: FIX AVOL VG CCE TE METR NXTM RAI EGL

MA125: ANAC

B/d from yesterday: USNA MD BWLD TEVA CLI

Recent MA b/o: BOFI EROS

Good setups in past 5 days: CCRN

[My Trading]
N/A

2015年8月20日星期四

08/20/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A 500 day one down side thrust, 25% down in quarter also go above 1000 (more and more stocks been distributed). We finally see a sign of panic selling here (dip buyers give up?). Should not be surprise: in past 2 months or so, primary indicator is bearish zone, 10 day breath ration is consistent below 1 and every bounce has been sold off very quick. A correction will produce more future opportunity, we will see.
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    Industry Rank


[Swing Setup]
Best: AQXP FIX USNA
Rest: CARA POST AVOL VG XXIA CCE MD BWLD RAI TEVA CLI NXTM EGL

MA125: ANAC

B/d from yesterday: SHEN NTRI METR AMZN NVDA GOOGL VRSN BCR AF KFRC UA TEVA DEPO PEGA EMKR

Recent MA b/o: BOFI EROS

Good setups in past 5 days: CCRN

[My Trading]
N/A

2015年8月19日星期三

08/19/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Primary indicator in bearish zone for near 2 months now. There is continuous distribution, any bounce tend to fade very quick. Index still in range, but at this stage b/o and new rally is not likely to spark until 300/500 days.
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    Industry Rank

[Swing Setup]
Best: CARA NTRI SHEN HFC
Rest: USNA DEPO XXIA VG AMZN KFRC EMKR GOOGL UA AF PEGA CCE BCR VA BWLD METR RAI TEVA CLI NXTM VRSN NVDA EGL

MA125: ANAC ADPT SKX

B/d from yesterday: YRCW MDLZ FTK AMED GNC

Recent MA b/o: BOFI EROS

Good setups in past 5 days: CCRN

[My Trading]
close EMKR with stop hit

2015年8月18日星期二

08/18/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Low volume selling day. Nothing too much attention. Breath picture is almost same. Need a spark on either side.
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[Swing Setup]
Best: CARA USNA SHEN HFC YRCW
Rest: AMED NTRI VG HLF XXIA FTK GOOGL PEGA MDLZ CHE BCR BWLD CASH RAI TEVA CLI NXTM VRSN GNC NVDA EGL

MA125: ANAC ADPT SKX

B/o from yesterday: N/A

Recent MA b/o: BOFI EROS

Good setups in past 5 days: GRBK MX CO

[My Trading]
N/A should close EMKR, but was out with stop in place. Almost hit but not yet.

2015年8月17日星期一

08/17/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Market is little bit stabilized here. No further selling break this breath level. Today is a low volume buying day. A lot of small b/o with light volume. Let us see where market is heading.
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    Industry Rank



[Swing Setup]
Best:  CARA USNA HLF FTK YRCW
Rest:  ANAC AMED VG DEPO XXIA AMZN PEGA HPY CHE MDLZ EA BCR EVHC BWLD CASH RAI TEVA CLI VRSN GNC NVDA STRA EGL

MA125: ANAC ADPT SKX BOFI

B/o from yesterday: EMKR KFRC ATVI OFIX BOFI ALK VA (small move, BOFI long term)

Good setups in past 5 days: GRBK MX CO

[My Trading]
(1) EMKR, only one with some volume. Enter at 7.40.

2015年8月15日星期六

08/15/2015 Weekend Routine - 401K & Swing

[401K]
As from Primary indicator, market is in confirmed bearish phase, all breath indicator keep going down. Index still in a range. In the past week, any bounce fade very quick. So remain in cash. Need more correction to be bullish and need more buying pressure to make a bottom.
    As of funds, TRBCX still leading, TI42 is just 101 which can go below if more selling happens next week. 





[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
08/05/2015 - 08/11/2015, basically it is a losing game on momentum leaders. Even market bounce, it tend to happen on beaten down stocks. More and more leaders are broken down.

Some stock b/o and continue move: 
LION
Some stocks b/o then side way move:

Some stocks b/o then fade:

2015年8月14日星期五

08/14/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A boring day, not too much buying or selling. Breath in bearish zone stabilize. Remain little exposure on long side till buying thrust or breath improves.
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    Industry Rank

[Swing Setup]
Best:  FTK YRCW KFRC EMKR ICLR
Rest:  USNA BOFI DEPO VG XXIA AMZN PEGA ALK HPY EXPE CLFD ATVI EA CASH OFIX BCR VA CMG EVHC MD HTBI BWLD RAI TEVA CLI VRSN NVDA GNC STRA

MA125: ANAC ADPT SKX BOFI

B/o from yesterday: AF AMSG XXIA (small move)

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: 

[My Trading]

2015年8月13日星期四

08/13/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
The bounce basically fade. There is no follow through. We have been in bearish zone for more than one month, still not see convincing buying. Let us see what will happen next.
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    Industry Rank

[Swing Setup]
Best:  AMSG EMKR KFRC YRCW AF
Rest:  ADPT NTRI VG XXIA AMZN FTK ICLR CLFD HPY PEGA CCRN EXPE EA CASH BCR MD EVHC BWLD VA CMG RAI HTBI TEVA CLI VRSN GNC STRA

MA125: ANAC ADPT 

B/o from yesterday: AHS
B/o from yesterday: NEOG

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: 

[My Trading]
(1) ZGNX, fade which need to be close.

2015年8月12日星期三

08/12/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Very nice inter-day reversal. Daily breath turn positive also.Hong long the bounce will last is questionable in big bearish picture, maybe 2-3 days or even less. Can vote a little bit capital with strict risk control to see what will happen next.
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[Swing Setup]
Best:  YRCW XXIA KFRC PEGA
Rest:  AHS NTRI VG AMZN TPX AF NEOG CASH TE BCR CMG RAI MD BWLD TEVA CLI ATHN VRSN GNC STRA

MA125: ANAC ADPT 

B/o from yesterday: BYD ZGNX EROS (long term)

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: LPCN USCR TSO CCRN VLO

[My Trading]
(1) ZGNX, enter at 20.06 anticipation bounce will last more than 1 day.

2015年8月11日星期二

08/11/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
The bounce of yesterday fade. All index lost the gain of yesterday, breath is 76/242. Market in a steady bearish phase but panic selling. Obviously need a lot more energy to establish new trend, which may not happen soon.
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    Industry Rank

[Swing Setup]
Best:  AMSG XXIA YRCW KFRC PEGA
Rest:  ZGNX NTRI AMZN MMSI TPX CHE AF CASH NEOG BCR PNRA RAI MD BYD TE CMG TEVA GNC VRSN

MA125: ANAC ADPT 
MA39: EROS INCR

B/d from yesterday: UCTT

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: LPCN USCR TSO CCRN VLO

[My Trading]
N/A for today, LPCN is very good earning with 30% rise today. But it is OK to close yesterday, I am trading not gambling.

2015年8月10日星期一

08/10/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A bounce happens today, and it is a 328/67 days, will it be a tradable bounce? Let us if more buying step in tomorrow otherwise market more likely will fall back quick as in general bearish environment.
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[Swing Setup]
Best:  NTRI PEGA NEOG PNRA CLI
Rest:  EROS XUE ZGNX MMSI AMZN TPX CASH GOOGL BYD MD RAI UCTT CMG TEVA VRSN

MA125/39: ADPT EROS

B/o from yesterday: LION UFPI ICLR GLOB

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: 

[My Trading]
There are two tradings today anticipating the bounce will last, but they all been closed.
(1) LPCN, same day enter and exit. Wash trade with small gain. Before last one hour, it is very good break out. The thing is that the earning is tomorrow. Know this after entry, do not want to risk.
(2)VG, anticipation fade, close same day

2015年8月8日星期六

08/08/2015 Weekend Routine -401K & Swing Summary

[401K]
As from Primary indicator, market is in confirmed bearish phase, all breath indicator keep going down. Index does not correct too much. If we are heading to a serious correction, this is just the start. On the other hand, in past a few years, every selling phase has only one leg, which we need to open the mind to different possibility. As for now, just wait for next decision point.
    As for funds, TRBCX is still rank1, but did not see momentum expanding. In this year, all the leader in fund seems only last for short period or in other words market is in whipsaw. My current holding is 100% cash.




[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
07/29/2015 - 08/04/2015 (only this week). Most b/o is not success, a losing game on long side, that is why we need risk management.

Some stock b/o and continue move: 
N/A
Some stocks b/o then side way move:
N/A

Some stocks b/o then fade:

Some stocks break down:
MRGE NVAX HCA

2015年8月7日星期五

08/07/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
From the Primary indicator, some best stocks still hold while broken stocks are more and more (we see short set up with follow through). Green does not go below 200 and red is not beyond 1000, market is not panic which also means a lot of room for downside. Today, index goes low then bounce back, so still dip buyers. Next week may due for a short time bounce.
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[Swing Setup]
Best:  EROS LPCN TPX ICLR PEGA
Rest:  XUE ZGNX VG GLOB GPRO MMSI CASH NEOG TTWO BYD PNRA CMG LION UCTT UFPI CLI VRSN STRA

MA125/39: ADPT GLOB EROS

B/o from yesterday: MAS 
B/d from yesterday: CLFD AKAO

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: USCR BBW

[My Trading]
N/A

2015年8月6日星期四

08/06/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Finally we see a 300 day on down side. Interesting is also 200+ on up side. There is still active dip buyers. Anyway, overall action is not good, b/d list is long. Both long/short side is volatile.
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    Industry Rank


[Swing Setup]
Best:  LPCN CLFD MMSI PEGA NEOG
Rest:  XUE ZGNX GLOB AMZN GPRO MX CASH PNRA TE UFPI HIG MAS CLI STRA AKAO

MA125: GLOB

B/o from yesterday: FTK
B/d from yesterday: DBVT INSY BRLI RDUS QLIK POZN IG HALO LOGM GWRE

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: CARA

[My Trading]
(1) GOOG
Exit today with 0.3R loss. Actually it does not look bad at end of day. But it is correct reaction when market plum inter-day and GOOG close to hit stop loss.

2015年8月5日星期三

08/05/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Index rise nicely in the morning but end giving up almost all the gains. Seems every bounce is a selling opportunity which is typical in bearish market. Will we see a more serious correction?
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    Industry Rank


[Swing Setup]
Best:  DBVT ZGNX CLFD MMSI NEOG
Rest:  XUE RDUS INSY POZN HALO DEPO AMZN LOGM FTK BRLI BYD QLIK PNRA EBAY IG GWRE

MA125: GLOB HALO RARE

B/o from yesterday: HQY FTNT RTRX GOOG (RTRX mystery b/o)
B/d from yesterday: HCA

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: 

[My Trading]
(1) GOOG
Enter in the moring as b/o, may move to $660

2015年8月4日星期二

08/04/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
Market condition does not change too much in recent a few days, no big buying or continue selling. Let us focus on setup on focus on next big thing.
    Market Monitor
    Industry Rank


[Swing Setup]
Best:  HRTX ZGNX HQY NEOG
Rest:  ANAC XUE INSY POZN AMZN RTRX FTNT LOGM BRLI FTK BYD HCA QLIK TTWO GOOG EBAY GWRE

MA125: GLOB DY HALO

B/o from yesterday: ANAC (give up most gain)
B/d from yesterday: NVAX MRGE

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: 

[My Trading]
(1) ANAC
- enter in the morning and close before market close.
- a wash trade, anticipation does not b/o (give up gain and volume not convincing, also mystery style trading which can keep longer, but I trade it as swing

2015年8月3日星期一

08/03/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A selling day after 4 days of rising. Primary indicator is in bearish zone and trend is going down. Need more buying pressure for a convincing bounce. On the other side, no panic selling yet. If see good setups, can play small with very tight risk control.

    Market Monitor
    Industry Rank


[Swing Setup]
Best: ANAC ZGNX POZN BYD
Rest: XUE NVAX AMZN RTRX HQY BRLI MRGE HCA GOOG GWRE

MA125: ANAC HALO ELNK DY (ANAC best)

Recent B/o MA: ANAC RARE EGRX ABCD SKX DY LGND

Good setups in past 5 days: 

2015年8月1日星期六

08/01/2015 Weekend Routine - 401K

[401K]
Breath is decline for 3 months, and primary in bearish zone since 7/1. Index does not correct more than 8%, there is room of further down and so far the bounce is not convincing. remain 100% cash.
    As for funds, now the TRBCX (my best big cap fund) takes the leadership and in rank1.

[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
In vacation, no tracking for past week.

07/31/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
The primary indicator has been in bearish zone for one month and decline for 3 months. The selling is steady but not panic yet. So far any bounce is weak. Remain general bearish unless more buying pressure steps in.
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    Industry Rank


[Swing Setup]
Best: ANAC SRPT
Rest: HRTX ZGNX MOMO MRGE HCA PBY WINS GES GWRE

MA125: ANAC HZNP

Recent B/o MA: EGRX RTRX HZNP ANAC RARE GLOB CYNI SKX DY ELNK

Good setups in past 5 days: