2015年2月28日星期六

02/28/2015 Weekend Routine - Swing and 401K

[401K]
After a choppy market since Dec 2014, Market is b/o from the range on 2/12. After rally for 2 weeks, there is minor pull back. So far as all breath indicator stay in bullish and not reach extreme yet, and did not see thrust on the down side. Most likely rally will continue. FOCKX has 50% position and stay in rank1, DFFVX another 50% position but drop to rank7. TRBCX is 2nd best, and has history good beta. Details as below:


[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
02/19/2015 - 02/25/2015, generally works well. Fade setups in creased, but if cut loss quick, will still have profit more than loss, detail as below:

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
(1) MMSI
(2) OCUL, sold one 3rd day though
(3) CSII, good 4 day profit
(4) KSS
(5) SWKS


Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1) CACC, enter early on 1st will still have some profit
(2) ORLY
(3) EXAR
(4) SIGM
(5) SPSC


Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) MDCA
(2) MRTX, if hold to 4th day
(3) AFGN
(4) NUS
(5) LNKD
(6) ICE
(7) PFE


Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation (most b/d recovered due to the strong bounce)
(1) CBM, bounce back after 1st day down
(2) ALQA


2015年2月27日星期五

02/27/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014. If interest rate rise, will affect long term.
    For short term, rally comes out of previous range. It will continue until a thrust on the down side, not too much to say. Some minor selling today, but nothing to worry about, more possible continue to move next week as all breath indicator is still healthy.

[Anticipation List]

Best: YDLE ABMD CONN COLM FWRD RTEC MLM AON LTRPA CKEC
Rest: RCKY EGRX VISI CPF RTI COHR VSAT EZCH LRN SYNT MRCY CEB AEIS POST POOL OFG PBH THOR PNK TW CYT GRA ROP AGCO GNC HRS SNV SC WSH ENDP SCI WWAV MHFI DLPH DVDA WMB NICE

B/o from yesterday: COTY
B/d from yesterday: DNB GLUU TPC CR TUP TOWR

Good setups in past 5 days: OCUL FLWS MWW INSY FLDM AMWD SQBK AAOI CLDN AGRO


[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI ATRO COT CLNE (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move Today:
CLNE, 69M float. Today largest volume in life. Turn around play, both EPS/Rev go above old high. 144/55 is big number (Turn around need to much higher than growth story).

After Hour Move: Nothing



2015年2月26日星期四

02/26/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014. If interest rate rise, will affect long term.
    For short term, rally continue as out of previous range. It will continue until a thrust on the down side, not too much to say. Minor pull-back is possible but no worry.

[Anticipation List]

Best: CKEC COLM FWRD DNB RTEC MLM GLUU AON LTRPA
Rest: VISI YDLE TOWR COHR ABMD CONN DST MRCY CSGS CEB AEIS TPC POOL TUP COTY THOR CR SSNC PNK TW GRA INFN HRS INFA EFX WSH EA MHFI ATVI NVDA ETN

B/o from yesterday: TNAV POL DGII


Good setups in past 5 days: FLWS INSY FLDM CSII SIGM PAM EXLS WCG TREX UVE CCRN AAOI AGRO STML


[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI ATRO COT (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move Today: BSFT, EP yestoday, 42/27 catalyst
After Hour Move: Nothing

2015年2月25日星期三

02/25/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014. If interest rate rise, will affect long term.
    For short term, rally continue as out of previous range. It will continue until a thrust on the down side, not too much to say. Minor pull-back is no worry.

[Anticipation List]

Best: CONN SSNI SLGN MLM HHS IIVI AON RTI
Rest: VISI DGII TOWR COHR ABMD TNAV DST FWRD ABCO DNB RTEC MRCY CSGS CEB ENH POOL TUP COTY THOR CR MANH TMH GRA GLUU TRIP POL HRS INFA FMC NYT WSH SCI EL MHFI TWTR NVDA LTRPA

B/o from yesterday: PFE ICE NUS LNKD SPSC (all marginal b/o)


Good setups in past 5 days: FLWS IPGP INSY PTCT JCP PAM COH WCG MMSI CLDN STML


[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI ATRO COT (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move Today: BNFT, largest volume, turn around play, but cata not strong enough.
After Hour Move: GPOR, 140/290 catalyst, but it is cyclic oil stock often has reversed table compare to growth story.

2015年2月24日星期二

02/24/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014. If interest rate rise, will affect long term.
    For short term, rally continue as out of previous range. It will continue until a thrust on the down side, which is not happen yet

[Anticipation List]
Best: DGII ABMD ABCO MLM TUP HHS AON
Rest: VISI NVRO SPSC CMPR TOWR RTI COHR BRLI CONN SCOR TNAV FWRD RTEC MRCY CEB AEIS SLGN SWHC ENH POOL THOR SSNC UFS NUS MANH GLUU LULU LNKD INFA ICE FMC WSH NVDA PFE CISG WX

B/o from yesterday: CHTR MDCA SIGM EXAR
B/d from yesterday: CBM ALQA HLIT

Good setups in past 5 days: IPGP FRP SKYW MASI IVC COH WCG FORM TXRH ONCE

[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI ATRO COT (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move Today:
COT, 825/13 earning, turn around play. It is big cap and rally into earning (news leak?). Catalyst is good, better for pull-back entry.

After Hour Move: Nothing

2015年2月23日星期一

02/23/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014. If interest rate rise, will affect long term.
    For short term, rally continue as out of previous range. It will continue until a thrust on the down side.

[Anticipation List]
Best: DGII CONN CBM ABCO UVE MLM GLUU CHTR LNKD AON
Rest: ALQA SPSC PKT CMPR COHR BRLI HWAY ABMD TNAV FWRD MRCY MDCA SIGM EXAR SWHC TUP THOR HHS GWR NUS TW MANH HAR TMH HLIT ICE WSH NVDA CISG

B/o from yesterday: CACC OCUL ORLY LEA CSII (FOMX good in the morning but fade)
Good setups in past 5 days: MFLX EBIX HZNP CTSO IPGP NICE ALDR PAH RESI ONCE JUNO TRCO

[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI ATRO (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big move with catalyst today: Nothing
After hour move: Nothing

2015年2月22日星期日

02/22/2015 Weekend Routine - EP

Stocks with outstanding EP:
--NA--

Stocks with 20-30% potential, for swing trading
(1) ANGI
Chart: Middle size 43M float stock. Not growth story but turn around play. Largest volume in life, but EP day price rise 50% already, how much room left is questionable.

Fundamental: Looks to be a turn around earning. But rev does not confirm this, can be one time thing.

Action Plan: Looking for pull-back play.

(2) ATRO
Chart: After initial growth (200%+ move in 2013), price stuck in range since 2014, create >1 year neglect. Think stock with 14M float, which is idea for EP. And now clearly b/o of the range which may start another move.
Fundamental: 2014 earning is really improve compare to previous years, this could be anticipated in 2013 as price rise from $11 to almost $40+. 2014 with significant growth in earning, price just stuck in range. 

Action Plan: Looking for pull-back play.


2015年2月21日星期六

02/21/2015 Weekend Routine - Swing & 401K

[401K]
After a choppy market since Dec 2014, Market is b/o from the range week before. Looks this break out is successful with primary breath improves. Current 401K 50% in FOCKX which is  still rank1, 50% in DFFVX which drop to rank5. Need to wait 30 days before rotate positions. Current stock funds rank as below:


[Anticipation List Event- from last Wen to this Tues]
02/12/2015 - 02/18/2015, break out really works as we get into a bull market. Stay focus until party over. Details as below, very good success rate for momentum burst setups:

Some stock b/o and move as momentum burst - the big winner (20%-30% in normal market condition)
(1) DOOR
(2) HALO
(3) EA
(4) BA
(5) SRNE
(6) CEMP
(7) EBIX, this one I missed trading anticipation and get out right before b/o


Some stocks b/o then side way move - wash trade or scratch trade (30%-40% of the trading)
(1) DIS
(2) HLIT
(3) HAR
(4) LRN
(5) CHEF


Some stocks b/o then fade - may hit or half hit the stop loss (30%-40% of the trading, loss need to be well controlled)
(1) ANW
(2) MDCO


Some stocks break down - you will not be affected if trade b/o, but will be stop out if real anticipation (most b/d recovered due to the strong bounce)
(1) RDUS
(2) FRAN
(3) ATTO



2015年2月20日星期五

02/20/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014. If interest rate rise, will affect long term.
    For now market finally b/o and move above the range. As rally continue, both primary and secondary indicator improves, we are more confident this rally has a leg, it is a bull market and b/o works, stay focus.

[Anticipation List]
Best: CACC OCUL DGII ABMD HHS ORLY LNKD
Rest: ALQA FOMX VISI SSH SPSC PKT COHR BRLI CSII ABCO UVE MRCY SIGM CEB AEIS EXAR RYL SWHC TUP PBH COTY IIVI NUS LEA GLUU HLIT HLS INFA CME AON CISG

B/o from yesterday: SWKS ZFGN KSS
Good setups in past 5 days: MFLX EBIX CEMP NICE CKEC PPO DENN CBPO PAH NCLH (lots of good setups)

[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI ATRO (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move with catalyst today: Nothing
After Hour Move: Nothing


2015年2月19日星期四

02/19/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014. If interest rate rise, will affect long term.
    After a whipsaw period from Dec 2014, market finally b/o and move above the range. As rally continue, both primary and secondary indicator improves, we are more confident this rally has a leg.

[Anticipation List]
Best: OCUL FOMX DGII ABMD HHS IIVI LEA SWKS (HHS ABMD may work immediately)
Rest: TLYS ZFGN FRSH FFG VISI NVRO SPSC PKT HRTG COHR BRLI HWAY DST UVE SIGM AEIS MLM SWHC ENH PBH IBKR SNA HLIT HLS ORLY KSS AON CISG VNRCP

B/o from yesterday: MMSI MRTX 
Good setups in past 5 days: SRNE MFLX EBIX HALO CLVS PRTA EIGI CKEC BV PPO CBPO NCLH (lots of setups as things start to work)

[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI ATRO (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move Today:
ATRO, 2014 earning is really good compare to previous years. But it consolidate for whole year. And it finally break out of range, may make big move


After Hour Move: ANET, not earning surprise, but 2014 earning is really good, new IPO.

2015年2月18日星期三

02/18/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014.
    After a whipsaw period from Dec 2014, market finally b/o and move above the range. We see 2nd indicator is expanding. Now it is close to over-bought zone, be a little bit cautious but party not over yet.

[Anticipation List]
Best: FOMX DGII SIGM EXAR TWTR
Rest: MRTX TLYS ZFGN OCUL VISI NVRO IDT PKT HRTG HWAY NSH MMSI UVE SWHC PBH IBKR HHS IIVI LEA ORLY SWKS OPK DLPH CISG VNRCP

B/o from yesterday: LRN CHEF
Good setups in past 5 days: MFLX CBAY HALO EBIX HW CKEC PPO GASS

[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR ANGI (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move Today:
ANGI, 43M float doing website. It has turn around earning, but rally near 60% in one day, plus sales is not that significant. Volume very high, wait for pull-back play.

After Hour Move: Nothing

2015年2月17日星期二

02/17/2015 Daily Trading Routine

[General Market]
A long term bull trend ended March 2014, especially true for small cap. QE also ended in Oct 2014.
    After a whipsaw period from Dec 2014, market finally b/o and move above the range. We see 2nd indicator is expanding. B/o start to work and it has some room before arrive in over-bought zone.

[Anticipation List]
Best: FOMX LRN MMSI IIVI CISG
Rest: MRTX OCUL NVRO CHEF DGII BRLI HWAY NSH UVE SIGM SWHC IBKR HHS LEA LNKD BERY PARR VNRCP

B/d from yesterday: ATTO RDUS FRAN
Good setups in past 5 days: ASPX HALO NSP EBIX GGAL BFR RKT IILG HW PPO HHC SHLD

[EP Analysis]
Recent EP best: None
Recent EP Rest: INFN ABMD SYNA AMZN EXAR GLUU TWTR CBM AMKR TRIP CYBR (20-30% potential, remove HZO)

Big Move Today: Nothing
After Hour Move: Nothing

2015年2月16日星期一

Past Big Winner Study

Winners in past quarter with 50% + move

(1) RSEN
It is a very small stock, only 4.8M float which is idea for EP. The catalyst is both new product (RCE-1000) and enter new market (Asian). No rev and earning yet. But the production is ramp up, create the excitement big money can be made in near future. This stock turn out to be best EP with clear catalyst in recent few months.


(2) ABMD
It is 35M float stock. The catalyst is growth story, earning/rev really expanding in recent 2 quarters. 1st EP does not move stock that fast, but 2nd EP confirm the fundamental change and price shooting to roof.


(3) MFLX
This is a turn around case instead of growth story. Very low float (9M). Recent 2 quarters, EPS turn from negative to positive and really expanding. Then the stock fly, but it will be difficult to catch, on EP day price does not surge with volume. But it finally take off.


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